SteamWatchFC Thun vs Hajduk Split: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for FC Thun vs Hajduk Split (Conference League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Hajduk Split in the 1X2 market: shortened from 2.52 at open to 2.30 at the close, a +3.8 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:12 UTC on 22 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0 at open to +0.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: FC Thun 0-1 Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split closed as the 2.30 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Hajduk Split, which shortened from 2.52 to 2.30 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Hajduk Split at 2.17, 35 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.4 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Hajduk Split won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Thun | 2.68 | 2.93 | -3.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.51 | 3.81 | -2.2pp |
| 1X2 | Hajduk Split | 2.52 | 2.30 | +3.8pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 1.86 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 2.01 | — |
| Asian handicap | FC Thun +0.25 | — | 1.87 | — |
| Asian handicap | Hajduk Split -0.25 | — | 2.02 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | FC Thun | Draw | Hajduk Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.68 | 3.51 | 2.52 |
| 48 hours before | 2.80 | 3.61 | 2.38 |
| 24 hours before | 2.80 | 3.61 | 2.38 |
| 6 hours before | 3.02 | 3.88 | 2.22 |
| 1 hour before | 2.81 | 3.89 | 2.34 |
| Close | 2.93 | 3.81 | 2.30 |
In the final two hours before kickoff FC Thun drifted from 2.80 to 2.93, a -1.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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