SteamWatchGetafe vs FC Lugano: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Getafe vs FC Lugano (Conference League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Getafe in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.83 at open to 2.27 at the close, a -10.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:20 UTC on 21 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.5 at open to -0.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: Getafe 2-5 FC Lugano. Getafe closed as the 2.27 favourite with Pinnacle. FC Lugano won at a closing price of 3.49. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Getafe, which drifted from 1.83 to 2.27 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on FC Lugano at 3.70, 41 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.3 percentage-point rise in implied probability. FC Lugano won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Getafe | 1.83 | 2.27 | -10.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.48 | 3.20 | +2.5pp |
| 1X2 | FC Lugano | 4.47 | 3.49 | +6.3pp |
| Totals | Over 2.25 | — | 2.07 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.25 | — | 1.82 | — |
| Asian handicap | Getafe -0.25 | — | 1.94 | — |
| Asian handicap | FC Lugano +0.25 | — | 1.94 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Getafe | Draw | FC Lugano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.83 | 3.48 | 4.47 |
| 48 hours before | 1.79 | 3.49 | 4.64 |
| 24 hours before | 1.78 | 3.54 | 4.68 |
| 6 hours before | 1.96 | 3.36 | 4.28 |
| 1 hour before | 2.18 | 3.17 | 3.76 |
| Close | 2.27 | 3.20 | 3.49 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Getafe drifted from 2.04 to 2.27, a -5.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Conference League matches this round
- FC Kairat vs Panathinaikos FC
- Trabzonspor vs Hearts
- FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjällby AIF
- FK Jablonec vs Brighton and Hove Albion
- Red Star Belgrade vs FC Copenhagen
- FC Nordsjaelland vs PFC CSKA Sofia
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos FC vs Riga FC
- FK Kauno Žalgiris vs SK Brann
- AS Monaco vs SC Freiburg
- SC Braga vs Gent
- Ajax vs Atalanta BC