SteamWatchPafos FC vs Riga FC: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Pafos FC vs Riga FC (Conference League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Pafos FC in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.65 at open to 1.98 at the close, a -10.1 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 16:03 UTC on 22 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 2.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.75 at open to -0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Pafos FC 1-1 Riga FC. Pafos FC closed as the 1.98 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.61. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Pafos FC, which drifted from 1.65 to 1.98 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Riga FC at 4.57, 31 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Riga FC did not win.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pafos FC | 1.65 | 1.98 | -10.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.97 | 3.61 | +2.5pp |
| 1X2 | Riga FC | 4.92 | 3.85 | +5.6pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | — | 1.86 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | — | 2.02 | — |
| Asian handicap | Pafos FC -0.5 | — | 1.99 | — |
| Asian handicap | Riga FC +0.5 | — | 1.89 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Pafos FC | Draw | Riga FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.65 | 3.97 | 4.92 |
| 48 hours before | 1.65 | 3.93 | 5.03 |
| 24 hours before | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.49 |
| 6 hours before | 1.61 | 4.15 | 5.56 |
| 1 hour before | 1.61 | 4.09 | 5.66 |
| Close | 1.98 | 3.61 | 3.85 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Pafos FC drifted from 1.61 to 1.98, a -11.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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