SteamWatchSunderland vs Leeds United: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Sunderland vs Leeds United (English Premier League, 25 Oct 2026) was on Leeds United -0 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.88 at open to 2.06 at the close, a -4.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Result
Full time: Sunderland 0-0 Leeds United. Sunderland closed as the 2.67 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.20. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Leeds United, which drifted from 2.59 to 2.94 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Sunderland at 2.67, 7 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.4 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Sunderland did not win.
Sunderland have scored 9.4 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). Leeds United have scored 10.8 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sunderland | 2.67 | 2.67 | +0.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.34 | 3.20 | +1.3pp |
| 1X2 | Leeds United | 2.59 | 2.94 | -4.6pp |
| Totals | Over 2.25 | 1.77 | 1.89 | -3.6pp |
| Totals | Under 2.25 | 2.05 | 2.01 | +1.0pp |
| Asian handicap | Sunderland +0 | 1.94 | 1.87 | +1.9pp |
| Asian handicap | Leeds United -0 | 1.88 | 2.06 | -4.6pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.67 | 3.34 | 2.59 |
| 48 hours before | 3.01 | 3.22 | 2.56 |
| 24 hours before | 3.01 | 3.24 | 2.55 |
| 6 hours before | 2.97 | 3.16 | 2.67 |
| 1 hour before | 2.94 | 3.16 | 2.70 |
| Close | 2.67 | 3.20 | 2.94 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Sunderland shortened from 3.03 to 2.67, a +4.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other English Premier League matches this round
- Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest
- Aston Villa vs Manchester City
- Arsenal vs Everton
- Coventry City vs Fulham
- Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur
- Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United
- Manchester United vs Bournemouth
- Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion
- Hull City vs Brentford