SteamWatchBelarus vs San Marino: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Belarus vs San Marino (UEFA Nations League, 3 Oct 2026) was on Belarus in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.11 at open to 1.08 at the close, a +2.5 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 15:14 UTC on 1 Oct 2026.
How the market closed
Belarus closed as the 1.08 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Belarus, which shortened from 1.11 to 1.08.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belarus | 1.11 | 1.08 | +2.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 12.50 | 15.50 | -1.5pp |
| 1X2 | San Marino | 24.00 | 55.00 | -2.3pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Belarus | Draw | San Marino |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.11 | 12.50 | 24.00 |
| 48 hours before | 1.10 | 13.00 | 29.00 |
| 24 hours before | 1.10 | 13.50 | 38.00 |
| 6 hours before | 1.08 | 15.00 | 50.00 |
| 1 hour before | 1.09 | 15.50 | 38.00 |
| Close | 1.08 | 15.50 | 55.00 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
- Belgium vs Turkey
- Faroe Islands vs Slovakia
- Hungary vs Georgia
- Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden
- Finland vs Albania
- Iceland vs Bulgaria
- Croatia vs England
- Estonia vs Luxembourg
- Spain vs Czech Republic
- Switzerland vs Slovenia
- North Macedonia vs Scotland
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