SteamWatchNorth Macedonia vs Scotland: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for North Macedonia vs Scotland (UEFA Nations League, 3 Oct 2026) was on Scotland in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.85 at open to 1.51 at the close, a +12.2 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 04:52 UTC on 3 Oct 2026.
How the market closed
Scotland closed as the 1.51 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Scotland, which shortened from 1.85 to 1.51.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | North Macedonia | 5.40 | 8.80 | -7.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.60 | 4.30 | -4.5pp |
| 1X2 | Scotland | 1.85 | 1.51 | +12.2pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | North Macedonia | Draw | Scotland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 5.40 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| 48 hours before | 5.40 | 3.60 | 1.84 |
| 24 hours before | 5.60 | 3.75 | 1.79 |
| 6 hours before | 6.80 | 3.75 | 1.69 |
| 1 hour before | 7.00 | 3.75 | 1.68 |
| Close | 8.80 | 4.30 | 1.51 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Scotland shortened from 1.70 to 1.51, a +7.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
- Finland vs Albania
- Iceland vs Bulgaria
- Croatia vs England
- Belarus vs San Marino
- Estonia vs Luxembourg
- Spain vs Czech Republic
- Switzerland vs Slovenia
- Azerbaijan vs Lithuania
- Malta vs Andorra
- Kosovo vs Austria
- Wales vs Denmark
- Greece vs Germany