SteamWatchSwitzerland vs Slovenia: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Switzerland vs Slovenia (UEFA Nations League, 3 Oct 2026) was on Slovenia in the 1X2 market: drifted from 10.50 at open to 11.00 at the close, a -0.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:43 UTC on 3 Oct 2026.
How the market closed
Switzerland closed as the 1.37 favourite with Pinnacle.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Switzerland | 1.37 | 1.37 | +0.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 5.20 | 5.30 | -0.4pp |
| 1X2 | Slovenia | 10.50 | 11.00 | -0.4pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Switzerland | Draw | Slovenia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.37 | 5.20 | 10.50 |
| 48 hours before | 1.36 | 5.30 | 11.00 |
| 24 hours before | 1.34 | 5.60 | 12.00 |
| 6 hours before | 1.28 | 6.00 | 15.50 |
| 1 hour before | 1.35 | 5.50 | 11.50 |
| Close | 1.37 | 5.30 | 11.00 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Switzerland drifted from 1.35 to 1.37, a -1.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
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- Croatia vs England
- Iceland vs Bulgaria
- Belarus vs San Marino
- Estonia vs Luxembourg
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- North Macedonia vs Scotland
- Azerbaijan vs Lithuania
- Kosovo vs Austria
- Malta vs Andorra
- Wales vs Denmark
- Netherlands vs Serbia