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English Premier League · kickoff 20:00 UTC on 2 Nov 2026

Newcastle United vs Everton: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Newcastle United vs Everton (English Premier League, 2 Nov 2026) was on Over 2.75 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.88 at open to 2.04 at the close, a -4.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.

Result

Full time: Newcastle United 0-1 Everton. Newcastle United closed as the 2.21 favourite with Pinnacle. Everton won at a closing price of 3.46. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Everton, which drifted from 3.07 to 3.46 and won.

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Newcastle United have scored 3.3 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Newcastle United2.172.21-0.8pp
1X2Draw3.643.53+0.9pp
1X2Everton3.073.46-3.7pp
TotalsOver 2.751.882.04-4.2pp
TotalsUnder 2.751.921.88+1.1pp
Asian handicapNewcastle United -0.251.901.91-0.3pp
Asian handicapEverton +0.251.922.02-2.6pp

1519 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 19:19 UTC on 18 Oct 2026 · last 19:58 UTC on 2 Nov 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenNewcastle UnitedDrawEverton
Open2.173.643.07
48 hours before2.433.562.93
24 hours before2.333.583.08
6 hours before2.183.653.42
1 hour before2.223.593.37
Close2.213.533.46

In the final two hours before kickoff Everton drifted from 3.31 to 3.46, a -1.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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