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English Premier League · kickoff 16:30 UTC on 1 Nov 2026

Liverpool vs Arsenal: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Liverpool vs Arsenal (English Premier League, 1 Nov 2026) was on Draw in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.06 at open to 3.52 at the close, a -20.1 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:19 UTC on 18 Oct 2026.

Result

Full time: Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal. Arsenal closed as the 2.46 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 2.06 to 3.52 and did not come in.

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Liverpool have scored 4.2 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Liverpool3.002.99+0.1pp
1X2Draw2.063.52-20.1pp
1X2Arsenal2.002.46-9.3pp
TotalsOver 2.751.901.88+0.6pp
TotalsUnder 2.751.902.03-3.4pp
Asian handicapLiverpool +0.252.001.82+4.9pp
Asian handicapArsenal -0.251.832.13-7.7pp

1489 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 03:47 UTC on 18 Oct 2026 · last 16:29 UTC on 1 Nov 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenLiverpoolDrawArsenal
Open3.002.062.00
48 hours before2.943.452.48
24 hours before2.933.442.49
6 hours before2.923.412.57
1 hour before2.893.462.56
Close2.993.522.46

In the final two hours before kickoff Arsenal shortened from 2.53 to 2.46, a +1.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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