SteamWatchAston Villa vs Fulham: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Aston Villa vs Fulham (English Premier League, 31 Oct 2026) was on Under 2.75 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.85 at open to 1.99 at the close, a -3.8 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.25 at open to -0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Aston Villa 1-1 Fulham. Aston Villa closed as the 2.00 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.71. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Fulham, which drifted from 3.45 to 3.89 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Fulham have scored 11.5 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aston Villa | 2.02 | 2.00 | +0.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.55 | 3.71 | -1.2pp |
| 1X2 | Fulham | 3.45 | 3.89 | -3.3pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.95 | 1.92 | +0.8pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.85 | 1.99 | -3.8pp |
| Asian handicap | Aston Villa -0.5 | — | 2.01 | — |
| Asian handicap | Fulham +0.5 | — | 1.92 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Aston Villa | Draw | Fulham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.02 | 3.55 | 3.45 |
| 48 hours before | 1.96 | 3.79 | 3.81 |
| 24 hours before | 2.04 | 3.67 | 3.68 |
| 6 hours before | 2.18 | 3.58 | 3.48 |
| 1 hour before | 2.03 | 3.67 | 3.84 |
| Close | 2.00 | 3.71 | 3.89 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Aston Villa shortened from 2.05 to 2.00, a +1.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other English Premier League matches this round
- Chelsea vs Manchester United
- Hull City vs Ipswich Town
- Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove Albion
- Bournemouth vs Leeds United
- Brentford vs Nottingham Forest
- Coventry City vs Sunderland
- Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace
- Liverpool vs Arsenal
- Newcastle United vs Everton