SteamWatchDinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen (Europa League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Dinamo Zagreb in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.76 at open to 1.58 at the close, a +6.5 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 16:03 UTC on 22 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.75 at open to -1 at the close.
Result
Full time: Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 NEC Nijmegen. Dinamo Zagreb closed as the 1.58 favourite with Pinnacle. NEC Nijmegen won at a closing price of 5.42. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Dinamo Zagreb, which shortened from 1.76 to 1.58 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Dinamo Zagreb at 1.52, 6 hours 54 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Dinamo Zagreb did not win.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1.76 | 1.58 | +6.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.01 | 4.52 | -2.8pp |
| 1X2 | NEC Nijmegen | 4.04 | 5.42 | -6.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | 1.85 | 1.96 | -3.0pp |
| Totals | Under 3 | 1.95 | 1.93 | +0.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Dinamo Zagreb -1 | — | 1.97 | — |
| Asian handicap | NEC Nijmegen +1 | — | 1.93 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.76 | 4.01 | 4.04 |
| 48 hours before | 1.64 | 4.29 | 4.72 |
| 24 hours before | 1.62 | 4.34 | 4.77 |
| 6 hours before | 1.51 | 4.78 | 6.00 |
| 1 hour before | 1.49 | 4.88 | 6.12 |
| Close | 1.58 | 4.52 | 5.42 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Dinamo Zagreb drifted from 1.47 to 1.58, a -4.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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