SteamWatchLillestrom vs Real Sociedad: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad (Europa League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Real Sociedad in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.52 at open to 1.36 at the close, a +7.7 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 04:44 UTC on 22 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +1 at open to +1.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Lillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad. Real Sociedad closed as the 1.36 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Real Sociedad, which shortened from 1.52 to 1.36 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Real Sociedad at 1.41, 2 hours 36 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.7 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Real Sociedad won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lillestrom | 5.28 | 7.94 | -6.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.54 | 5.72 | -4.5pp |
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad | 1.52 | 1.36 | +7.7pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 2.05 | — |
| Asian handicap | Lillestrom +1.5 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Asian handicap | Real Sociedad -1.5 | — | 1.97 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Lillestrom | Draw | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 5.28 | 4.54 | 1.52 |
| 48 hours before | 5.36 | 4.64 | 1.53 |
| 24 hours before | 5.51 | 4.78 | 1.50 |
| 6 hours before | 6.38 | 5.19 | 1.45 |
| 1 hour before | 6.90 | 5.54 | 1.40 |
| Close | 7.94 | 5.72 | 1.36 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Real Sociedad shortened from 1.41 to 1.36, a +2.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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