Bournemouth vs AC Milan: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Bournemouth vs AC Milan (Europa League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Bournemouth in the 1X2 market: shortened from 2.20 at open to 1.82 at the close, a +9.5 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 09:18 UTC on 22 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.25 at open to -0.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: Bournemouth 3-0 AC Milan. Bournemouth closed as the 1.82 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Bournemouth, which shortened from 2.20 to 1.82 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Bournemouth at 1.85, 2 hours 46 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.3 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Bournemouth won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bournemouth | 2.20 | 1.82 | +9.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.56 | 3.93 | -2.6pp |
| 1X2 | AC Milan | 3.07 | 4.33 | -9.5pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.93 | 1.96 | -0.8pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.87 | 1.93 | -1.7pp |
| Asian handicap | Bournemouth -0.75 | — | 2.07 | — |
| Asian handicap | AC Milan +0.75 | — | 1.85 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Bournemouth | Draw | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.20 | 3.56 | 3.07 |
| 48 hours before | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.42 |
| 24 hours before | 2.03 | 3.76 | 3.64 |
| 6 hours before | 1.95 | 3.83 | 3.83 |
| 1 hour before | 1.89 | 3.92 | 3.95 |
| Close | 1.82 | 3.93 | 4.33 |
In the final two hours before kickoff AC Milan drifted from 4.08 to 4.33, a -1.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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