SteamWatchTSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon (Europa League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Draw in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.78 at open to 4.43 at the close, a -33.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 07:37 UTC on 16 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.25 at open to -0.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon. TSG Hoffenheim closed as the 1.70 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 1.78 to 4.43 and did not come in.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on TSG Hoffenheim at 1.71, 47 minutes before kickoff, after a 7.5 percentage-point rise in implied probability. TSG Hoffenheim won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TSG Hoffenheim | 2.26 | 1.70 | +14.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 1.78 | 4.43 | -33.6pp |
| 1X2 | Lyon | 2.96 | 4.45 | -11.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.90 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.98 | — |
| Asian handicap | TSG Hoffenheim -0.75 | — | 1.89 | — |
| Asian handicap | Lyon +0.75 | — | 2.02 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | TSG Hoffenheim | Draw | Lyon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.26 | 1.78 | 2.96 |
| 48 hours before | 2.05 | 4.02 | 3.36 |
| 24 hours before | 2.05 | 4.03 | 3.35 |
| 6 hours before | 2.09 | 4.13 | 3.19 |
| 1 hour before | 2.04 | 4.01 | 3.40 |
| Close | 1.70 | 4.43 | 4.45 |
In the final two hours before kickoff TSG Hoffenheim shortened from 2.02 to 1.70, a +9.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Europa League matches this round
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen
- Ferencváros TC vs Torreense
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
- Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Prague
- Celtic vs Celta Vigo
- NK Celje vs Salzburg
- Bournemouth vs AC Milan
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht
- Omonoia FC vs Benfica
- Besiktas JK vs Crystal Palace
- Viktoria Plzeň vs PFC Levski Sofia
- Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad