SteamWatchOmonoia FC vs Benfica: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Omonoia FC vs Benfica (Europa League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Omonoia FC in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.10 at open to 8.40 at the close, a -20.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 06:49 UTC on 16 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +1.25 at open to +1.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Omonoia FC 1-4 Benfica. Benfica closed as the 1.34 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Omonoia FC, which drifted from 3.10 to 8.40 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Benfica at 1.28, 19 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Benfica won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonoia FC | 3.10 | 8.40 | -20.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.10 | 5.73 | -14.8pp |
| 1X2 | Benfica | 1.45 | 1.34 | +5.7pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.96 | — |
| Asian handicap | Omonoia FC +1.5 | — | 1.97 | — |
| Asian handicap | Benfica -1.5 | — | 1.93 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Omonoia FC | Draw | Benfica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.10 | 3.10 | 1.45 |
| 48 hours before | 7.71 | 5.22 | 1.36 |
| 24 hours before | 7.98 | 5.36 | 1.34 |
| 6 hours before | 9.11 | 5.87 | 1.32 |
| 1 hour before | 9.47 | 6.08 | 1.30 |
| Close | 8.40 | 5.73 | 1.34 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Benfica drifted from 1.32 to 1.34, a -1.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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