Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht (Europa League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Jagiellonia Białystok +0.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.86 at open to 1.98 at the close, a -3.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
How the market closed
Anderlecht closed as the 2.21 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Jagiellonia Białystok, which drifted from 3.08 to 3.29.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 3.08 | 3.29 | -2.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.43 | 3.60 | -1.4pp |
| 1X2 | Anderlecht | 2.25 | 2.21 | +0.8pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.86 | -0.3pp |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | 1.95 | 2.03 | -2.0pp |
| Asian handicap | Jagiellonia Białystok +0.25 | 1.86 | 1.98 | -3.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Anderlecht -0.25 | 1.95 | 1.93 | +0.5pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Jagiellonia Białystok | Draw | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.08 | 3.43 | 2.25 |
| 48 hours before | 3.10 | 3.59 | 2.23 |
| 24 hours before | 3.07 | 3.59 | 2.24 |
| 6 hours before | 3.18 | 3.57 | 2.28 |
| 1 hour before | 3.11 | 3.58 | 2.31 |
| Close | 3.29 | 3.60 | 2.21 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Anderlecht shortened from 2.31 to 2.21, a +2.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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