SteamWatchLech Poznań vs Sunderland: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Lech Poznań vs Sunderland (Europa League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Sunderland in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.76 at open to 1.85 at the close, a -2.8 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 07:53 UTC on 16 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.75 at open to +0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Lech Poznań 1-1 Sunderland. Sunderland closed as the 1.85 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.94. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Sunderland, which drifted from 1.76 to 1.85 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lech Poznań | 4.17 | 4.16 | +0.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.88 | 3.94 | -0.4pp |
| 1X2 | Sunderland | 1.76 | 1.85 | -2.8pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | — | 2.01 | — |
| Asian handicap | Lech Poznań +0.5 | — | 2.06 | — |
| Asian handicap | Sunderland -0.5 | — | 1.85 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Lech Poznań | Draw | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 4.17 | 3.88 | 1.76 |
| 48 hours before | 4.66 | 4.10 | 1.68 |
| 24 hours before | 4.62 | 4.09 | 1.68 |
| 6 hours before | 4.82 | 3.98 | 1.73 |
| 1 hour before | 4.55 | 4.03 | 1.76 |
| Close | 4.16 | 3.94 | 1.85 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Sunderland drifted from 1.70 to 1.85, a -4.8 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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