SteamWatchMillwall vs Lincoln City: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Millwall vs Lincoln City (EFL Championship, 17 Oct 2026) was on Lincoln City in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.78 at open to 4.96 at the close, a -6.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 21:37 UTC on 14 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.5 at open to -0.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: Millwall 2-2 Lincoln City. Millwall closed as the 1.76 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.76. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Lincoln City, which drifted from 3.78 to 4.96 and did not win.
Steam alerts
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millwall | 1.93 | 1.76 | +5.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.54 | 3.76 | -1.7pp |
| 1X2 | Lincoln City | 3.78 | 4.96 | -6.3pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | 1.87 | 2.03 | -4.2pp |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.87 | +1.7pp |
| Asian handicap | Millwall -0.75 | — | 2.01 | — |
| Asian handicap | Lincoln City +0.75 | — | 1.90 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Millwall | Draw | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.93 | 3.54 | 3.78 |
| 48 hours before | 1.66 | 4.06 | 4.85 |
| 24 hours before | 1.66 | 4.01 | 4.90 |
| 6 hours before | 1.68 | 4.07 | 5.08 |
| 1 hour before | 1.78 | 3.78 | 4.76 |
| Close | 1.76 | 3.76 | 4.96 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Millwall shortened from 1.80 to 1.76, a +1.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other EFL Championship matches this round
- Lincoln City vs West Ham United
- Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Watford vs Charlton Athletic
- Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City
- Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers
- Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers
- Bristol City vs Sheffield United
- Derby County vs Stoke City
- Norwich City vs Portsmouth
- Wrexham AFC vs Preston North End
- Swansea City vs West Ham United
- West Bromwich Albion vs Blackburn Rovers