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EFL Championship · kickoff 14:00 UTC on 17 Oct 2026

Derby County vs Stoke City: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Derby County vs Stoke City (EFL Championship, 17 Oct 2026) was on Draw in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.40 at open to 3.48 at the close, a -12.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:21 UTC on 14 Oct 2026.

Result

Full time: Derby County 0-1 Stoke City. Stoke City closed as the 2.48 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 2.40 to 3.48 and did not come in.

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Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Derby County2.202.92-11.2pp
1X2Draw2.403.48-12.9pp
1X2Stoke City2.282.48-3.5pp
TotalsOver 2.51.932.05-3.0pp
TotalsUnder 2.51.871.85+0.6pp
Asian handicapDerby County +01.822.13-8.0pp
Asian handicapStoke City -02.011.81+5.5pp

300 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 14:15 UTC on 14 Oct 2026 · last 13:57 UTC on 17 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenDerby CountyDrawStoke City
Open2.202.402.28
48 hours before2.603.482.65
24 hours before2.893.522.38
6 hours before2.993.512.42
1 hour before3.023.502.40
Close2.923.482.48

In the final two hours before kickoff Stoke City drifted from 2.41 to 2.48, a -1.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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