SteamWatchMiddlesbrough vs Cardiff City: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City (EFL Championship, 17 Oct 2026) was on Under 3.5 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.83 at open to 1.96 at the close, a -3.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1 at open to -1.25 at the close.
How the market closed
Middlesbrough closed as the 1.52 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 4.76 to 5.04.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Middlesbrough | 1.50 | 1.52 | -0.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.76 | 5.04 | -1.2pp |
| 1X2 | Cardiff City | 5.19 | 5.45 | -0.9pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | 1.98 | 1.93 | +1.3pp |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | 1.83 | 1.96 | -3.6pp |
| Asian handicap | Middlesbrough -1.25 | — | 2.04 | — |
| Asian handicap | Cardiff City +1.25 | — | 1.87 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.50 | 4.76 | 5.19 |
| 48 hours before | 1.55 | 4.86 | 4.90 |
| 24 hours before | 1.54 | 4.86 | 4.94 |
| 6 hours before | 1.53 | 5.02 | 5.38 |
| 1 hour before | 1.47 | 5.36 | 5.84 |
| Close | 1.52 | 5.04 | 5.45 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Middlesbrough drifted from 1.48 to 1.52, a -1.8 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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