SteamWatchSouthampton vs Bolton Wanderers: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers (EFL Championship, 17 Oct 2026) was on Draw in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.20 at open to 5.03 at the close, a -11.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:37 UTC on 14 Oct 2026.
How the market closed
Southampton closed as the 1.45 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 3.20 to 5.03.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Southampton | 1.35 | 1.45 | -5.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.20 | 5.03 | -11.4pp |
| 1X2 | Bolton Wanderers | 4.90 | 6.63 | -5.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | 1.83 | 2.07 | -6.3pp |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | 1.97 | 1.83 | +3.9pp |
| Asian handicap | Southampton -1.25 | 1.97 | 1.98 | -0.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Bolton Wanderers +1.25 | 1.85 | 1.93 | -2.2pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Southampton | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.35 | 3.20 | 4.90 |
| 48 hours before | 1.49 | 4.77 | 5.67 |
| 24 hours before | 1.45 | 4.94 | 6.02 |
| 6 hours before | 1.42 | 5.34 | 6.78 |
| 1 hour before | 1.44 | 5.24 | 6.62 |
| Close | 1.45 | 5.03 | 6.63 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other EFL Championship matches this round
- Lincoln City vs West Ham United
- Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Watford vs Charlton Athletic
- Millwall vs Lincoln City
- Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City
- Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers
- Bristol City vs Sheffield United
- Derby County vs Stoke City
- Norwich City vs Portsmouth
- Wrexham AFC vs Preston North End
- Swansea City vs West Ham United
- West Bromwich Albion vs Blackburn Rovers