SteamWatchNapoli vs Lazio: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Napoli vs Lazio (Serie A, 8 Nov 2026) was on Napoli in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.85 at open to 2.12 at the close, a -6.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 10:52 UTC on 8 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.5 at open to -0.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: Napoli 1-1 Lazio. Napoli closed as the 2.12 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.86. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Napoli, which drifted from 1.85 to 2.12 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Napoli at 2.12, 18 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.8 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Napoli did not win.
Lazio have scored 3.7 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Napoli | 1.85 | 2.12 | -6.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.84 | 3.86 | -0.1pp |
| 1X2 | Lazio | 3.83 | 3.40 | +3.3pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | — | 1.80 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | — | 2.13 | — |
| Asian handicap | Napoli -0.25 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Asian handicap | Lazio +0.25 | — | 2.08 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.85 | 3.84 | 3.83 |
| 48 hours before | 2.36 | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| 24 hours before | 2.37 | 3.61 | 3.02 |
| 6 hours before | 2.40 | 3.65 | 2.94 |
| 1 hour before | 2.29 | 3.80 | 3.08 |
| Close | 2.12 | 3.86 | 3.40 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Napoli shortened from 2.36 to 2.12, a +4.8 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Venezia vs Udinese
- Cagliari vs Frosinone
- Torino vs Lecce
- Parma vs Bologna
- AS Roma vs Sassuolo
- Monza vs Atalanta BC
- Genoa vs AC Milan
- Inter Milan vs Como
- Fiorentina vs Juventus