SteamWatchGenoa vs AC Milan: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Genoa vs AC Milan (Serie A, 8 Nov 2026) was on AC Milan -0.5 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.76 at open to 2.00 at the close, a -6.8 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan. AC Milan closed as the 1.99 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was AC Milan, which drifted from 1.76 to 1.99 and won.
Steam alerts
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Genoa | 4.59 | 4.14 | +2.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.63 | 3.54 | +0.7pp |
| 1X2 | AC Milan | 1.76 | 1.99 | -6.6pp |
| Totals | Over 2.25 | — | 1.80 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.25 | — | 2.13 | — |
| Asian handicap | Genoa +0.5 | 2.08 | 1.93 | +3.7pp |
| Asian handicap | AC Milan -0.5 | 1.76 | 2.00 | -6.8pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 4.59 | 3.63 | 1.76 |
| 48 hours before | 4.78 | 3.55 | 1.85 |
| 24 hours before | 4.80 | 3.56 | 1.84 |
| 6 hours before | 4.24 | 3.38 | 2.00 |
| 1 hour before | 4.20 | 3.39 | 2.03 |
| Close | 4.14 | 3.54 | 1.99 |
In the final two hours before kickoff the draw drifted from 3.40 to 3.54, a -1.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Venezia vs Udinese
- Cagliari vs Frosinone
- Torino vs Lecce
- Parma vs Bologna
- AS Roma vs Sassuolo
- Napoli vs Lazio
- Monza vs Atalanta BC
- Inter Milan vs Como
- Fiorentina vs Juventus