Parma vs Bologna: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Parma vs Bologna (Serie A, 7 Nov 2026) was on Over 2.25 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.78 at open to 2.07 at the close, a -7.9 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.5 at open to +0.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: Parma 1-2 Bologna. Bologna closed as the 1.71 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Parma, which drifted from 4.42 to 6.00 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Bologna at 1.72, 6 hours 31 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Bologna won.
Parma have scored 4.5 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). Bologna have scored 6.4 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Parma | 4.42 | 6.00 | -6.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.56 | 3.59 | -0.2pp |
| 1X2 | Bologna | 1.80 | 1.71 | +2.9pp |
| Totals | Over 2.25 | 1.78 | 2.07 | -7.9pp |
| Totals | Under 2.25 | 2.04 | 1.85 | +5.0pp |
| Asian handicap | Parma +0.75 | — | 1.98 | — |
| Asian handicap | Bologna -0.75 | — | 1.94 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Parma | Draw | Bologna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 4.42 | 3.56 | 1.80 |
| 48 hours before | 4.60 | 3.59 | 1.86 |
| 24 hours before | 4.59 | 3.59 | 1.87 |
| 6 hours before | 5.50 | 3.69 | 1.74 |
| 1 hour before | 5.52 | 3.60 | 1.76 |
| Close | 6.00 | 3.59 | 1.71 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Parma drifted from 5.51 to 6.00, a -1.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Venezia vs Udinese
- Cagliari vs Frosinone
- Torino vs Lecce
- AS Roma vs Sassuolo
- Napoli vs Lazio
- Monza vs Atalanta BC
- Genoa vs AC Milan
- Inter Milan vs Como
- Fiorentina vs Juventus