Serie A · kickoff 14:02 UTC on 7 Nov 2026

Cagliari vs Frosinone: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Cagliari vs Frosinone (Serie A, 7 Nov 2026) was on Cagliari in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.76 at open to 3.29 at the close, a -5.8 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 06:12 UTC on 7 Nov 2026.

The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.

The Asian handicap line moved from +0 at open to +0.25 at the close.

Result

Full time: Cagliari 1-0 Frosinone. Frosinone closed as the 2.15 favourite with Pinnacle. Cagliari won at a closing price of 3.29. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Cagliari, which drifted from 2.76 to 3.29 and won.

Steam alerts

SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Frosinone at 2.19, 7 hours 49 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.5 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Frosinone did not win.

Frosinone have scored 3.1 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (11 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

Market	Selection	Open	Close	Implied change
1X2	Cagliari	2.76	3.29	-5.8pp
1X2	Draw	3.58	3.90	-2.3pp
1X2	Frosinone	2.40	2.15	+4.8pp
Totals	Over 3.25	—	1.83	—
Totals	Under 3.25	—	2.09	—
Asian handicap	Cagliari +0.25	—	2.04	—
Asian handicap	Frosinone -0.25	—	1.88	—

663 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 11:00 UTC on 1 Nov 2026 · last 14:00 UTC on 7 Nov 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

When	Cagliari	Draw	Frosinone
Open	2.76	3.58	2.40
48 hours before	2.75	3.80	2.48
24 hours before	2.76	3.78	2.48
6 hours before	3.09	3.84	2.24
1 hour before	3.11	3.75	2.29
Close	3.29	3.90	2.15

In the final two hours before kickoff Frosinone shortened from 2.21 to 2.15, a +1.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.