SteamWatchAugsburg vs SC Freiburg: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Augsburg vs SC Freiburg (Bundesliga, 31 Oct 2026) was on SC Freiburg in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.16 at open to 2.55 at the close, a -7.1 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 04:23 UTC on 31 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.25 at open to +0 at the close.
Result
Full time: Augsburg 1-2 SC Freiburg. SC Freiburg closed as the 2.55 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was SC Freiburg, which drifted from 2.16 to 2.55 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Augsburg at 2.81, 39 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.0 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Augsburg did not win.
Augsburg have scored 3.0 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). SC Freiburg have scored 3.6 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Augsburg | 3.01 | 2.70 | +3.8pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.77 | 3.81 | -0.3pp |
| 1X2 | SC Freiburg | 2.16 | 2.55 | -7.1pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 2.03 | — |
| Asian handicap | Augsburg +0 | — | 2.02 | — |
| Asian handicap | SC Freiburg -0 | — | 1.90 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Augsburg | Draw | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.01 | 3.77 | 2.16 |
| 48 hours before | 3.12 | 3.84 | 2.21 |
| 24 hours before | 3.09 | 3.82 | 2.23 |
| 6 hours before | 2.99 | 3.85 | 2.27 |
| 1 hour before | 2.88 | 3.77 | 2.42 |
| Close | 2.70 | 3.81 | 2.55 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Augsburg shortened from 2.89 to 2.70, a +2.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Bundesliga matches this round
- Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05
- Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim
- FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig
- Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart
- Borussia Monchengladbach vs SC Paderborn
- Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund
- Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV