SteamWatchBayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga, 31 Oct 2026) was on Borussia Dortmund in the 1X2 market: drifted from 6.58 at open to 8.25 at the close, a -3.1 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 00:07 UTC on 19 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 4 at open to 3.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Bayern Munich 2-2 Borussia Dortmund. Bayern Munich closed as the 1.35 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 6.00. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Borussia Dortmund, which drifted from 6.58 to 8.25 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Bayern Munich have scored 20.2 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). Borussia Dortmund have scored 8.2 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 1.32 | 1.35 | -1.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 5.95 | 6.00 | -0.1pp |
| 1X2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6.58 | 8.25 | -3.1pp |
| Totals | Over 3.75 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.75 | — | 2.05 | — |
| Asian handicap | Bayern Munich -1.75 | 2.04 | 2.13 | -2.1pp |
| Asian handicap | Borussia Dortmund +1.75 | 1.78 | 1.80 | -0.6pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.32 | 5.95 | 6.58 |
| 48 hours before | 1.34 | 5.69 | 8.40 |
| 24 hours before | 1.35 | 5.69 | 8.44 |
| 6 hours before | 1.33 | 6.13 | 8.62 |
| 1 hour before | 1.34 | 6.07 | 8.08 |
| Close | 1.35 | 6.00 | 8.25 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Bayern Munich drifted from 1.32 to 1.35, a -1.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Bundesliga matches this round
- Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05
- Augsburg vs SC Freiburg
- Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim
- FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig
- Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart
- Borussia Monchengladbach vs SC Paderborn
- Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV