SteamWatchBayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga, 31 Oct 2026) was on VfB Stuttgart +0.75 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.91 at open to 2.08 at the close, a -4.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The totals line moved from 3.5 at open to 3.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Bayer Leverkusen 2-4 VfB Stuttgart. Bayer Leverkusen closed as the 1.69 favourite with Pinnacle. VfB Stuttgart won at a closing price of 4.64. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was VfB Stuttgart, which drifted from 3.90 to 4.64 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Bayer Leverkusen at 1.67, 2 hours 11 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.3 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Bayer Leverkusen did not win.
VfB Stuttgart have scored 6.3 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1.73 | 1.69 | +1.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.34 | 4.51 | -0.9pp |
| 1X2 | VfB Stuttgart | 3.90 | 4.64 | -4.1pp |
| Totals | Over 3.75 | — | 1.95 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.75 | — | 1.95 | — |
| Asian handicap | Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 | 1.91 | 1.85 | +1.7pp |
| Asian handicap | VfB Stuttgart +0.75 | 1.91 | 2.08 | -4.3pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.73 | 4.34 | 3.90 |
| 48 hours before | 1.84 | 4.41 | 3.77 |
| 24 hours before | 1.80 | 4.43 | 3.92 |
| 6 hours before | 1.69 | 4.61 | 4.38 |
| 1 hour before | 1.65 | 4.63 | 4.89 |
| Close | 1.69 | 4.51 | 4.64 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other Bundesliga matches this round
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- Augsburg vs SC Freiburg
- Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim
- FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig
- Borussia Monchengladbach vs SC Paderborn
- Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund
- Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV