SteamWatchAtalanta BC vs Parma: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Atalanta BC vs Parma (Serie A, 2 Nov 2026) was on Parma +1.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.89 at open to 2.10 at the close, a -5.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Atalanta BC 0-3 Parma. Atalanta BC closed as the 1.40 favourite with Pinnacle. Parma won at a closing price of 7.88. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 4.67 to 5.26 and did not come in.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Atalanta BC at 1.43, 39 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Atalanta BC did not win.
Atalanta BC have scored 9.9 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). Parma have scored 4.5 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atalanta BC | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.67 | 5.26 | -2.4pp |
| 1X2 | Parma | 7.04 | 7.88 | -1.5pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 1.83 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 2.09 | — |
| Asian handicap | Atalanta BC -1.25 | 1.93 | 1.84 | +2.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Parma +1.25 | 1.89 | 2.10 | -5.3pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Atalanta BC | Draw | Parma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.40 | 4.67 | 7.04 |
| 48 hours before | 1.52 | 4.65 | 6.14 |
| 24 hours before | 1.51 | 4.70 | 6.20 |
| 6 hours before | 1.53 | 4.76 | 6.09 |
| 1 hour before | 1.48 | 4.97 | 6.39 |
| Close | 1.40 | 5.26 | 7.88 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Atalanta BC shortened from 1.49 to 1.40, a +4.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC
- Bologna vs Monza
- Udinese vs AS Roma
- AC Milan vs Inter Milan
- Como vs Venezia
- Lazio vs Cagliari
- Frosinone vs Torino
- Lecce vs Genoa
- Juventus vs Napoli
- Sassuolo vs Fiorentina