SteamWatchFiorentina vs Atalanta BC: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC (Serie A, 29 Oct 2026) was on Atalanta BC in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.64 at open to 2.90 at the close, a -3.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:37 UTC on 18 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0 at open to -0.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta BC. Fiorentina closed as the 2.37 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.86. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Atalanta BC, which drifted from 2.64 to 2.90 and did not win.
Steam alerts
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Fiorentina have scored 5.7 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). Atalanta BC have scored 9.9 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fiorentina | 2.53 | 2.37 | +2.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.50 | 3.86 | -2.7pp |
| 1X2 | Atalanta BC | 2.64 | 2.90 | -3.4pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.99 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.92 | — |
| Asian handicap | Fiorentina -0.25 | — | 2.08 | — |
| Asian handicap | Atalanta BC +0.25 | — | 1.85 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.53 | 3.50 | 2.64 |
| 48 hours before | 2.20 | 3.74 | 3.20 |
| 24 hours before | 2.32 | 3.60 | 3.08 |
| 6 hours before | 2.34 | 3.79 | 3.00 |
| 1 hour before | 2.45 | 3.80 | 2.83 |
| Close | 2.37 | 3.86 | 2.90 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Sassuolo vs Lazio
- AS Roma vs Cagliari
- Torino vs Como
- AC Milan vs Bologna
- Venezia vs Inter Milan
- Parma vs Udinese
- Genoa vs Juventus
- Monza vs Napoli
- Frosinone vs Lecce
- Bologna vs Monza
- Udinese vs AS Roma
- AC Milan vs Inter Milan