SteamWatchFrosinone vs Lecce: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Frosinone vs Lecce (Serie A, 29 Oct 2026) was on Lecce in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.82 at open to 4.51 at the close, a -4.0 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:37 UTC on 18 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.5 at open to -0.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: Frosinone 5-1 Lecce. Frosinone closed as the 1.76 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Lecce, which drifted from 3.82 to 4.51 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Frosinone have scored 3.1 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (11 league matches). Lecce have scored 5.9 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Frosinone | 1.85 | 1.76 | +2.8pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.85 | 4.16 | -1.9pp |
| 1X2 | Lecce | 3.82 | 4.51 | -4.0pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | — | 2.08 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | — | 1.84 | — |
| Asian handicap | Frosinone -0.75 | — | 1.96 | — |
| Asian handicap | Lecce +0.75 | — | 1.96 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Frosinone | Draw | Lecce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.85 | 3.85 | 3.82 |
| 48 hours before | 1.69 | 4.18 | 4.82 |
| 24 hours before | 1.67 | 4.31 | 4.89 |
| 6 hours before | 1.71 | 4.27 | 4.70 |
| 1 hour before | 1.68 | 4.36 | 4.82 |
| Close | 1.76 | 4.16 | 4.51 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Frosinone drifted from 1.70 to 1.76, a -2.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Sassuolo vs Lazio
- AS Roma vs Cagliari
- Torino vs Como
- AC Milan vs Bologna
- Venezia vs Inter Milan
- Parma vs Udinese
- Genoa vs Juventus
- Monza vs Napoli
- Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC
- Bologna vs Monza
- Udinese vs AS Roma
- AC Milan vs Inter Milan