SteamWatchSassuolo vs Lazio: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Sassuolo vs Lazio (Serie A, 27 Oct 2026) was on Lazio in the 1X2 market: shortened from 2.49 at open to 1.99 at the close, a +10.1 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 07:54 UTC on 25 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0 at open to +0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Sassuolo 2-6 Lazio. Lazio closed as the 1.99 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Lazio, which shortened from 2.49 to 1.99 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Lazio at 1.99, 3 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.4 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Lazio won.
Lazio have scored 3.7 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sassuolo | 2.89 | 3.90 | -9.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.19 | 3.71 | -4.4pp |
| 1X2 | Lazio | 2.49 | 1.99 | +10.1pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.93 | 1.80 | +3.7pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.86 | 2.13 | -6.8pp |
| Asian handicap | Sassuolo +0.5 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Asian handicap | Lazio -0.5 | — | 2.00 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.89 | 3.19 | 2.49 |
| 48 hours before | 3.23 | 3.47 | 2.21 |
| 24 hours before | 3.30 | 3.62 | 2.20 |
| 6 hours before | 3.56 | 3.62 | 2.12 |
| 1 hour before | 3.84 | 3.66 | 2.02 |
| Close | 3.90 | 3.71 | 1.99 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Lazio shortened from 2.12 to 1.99, a +3.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Atalanta BC vs Frosinone
- Lecce vs Juventus
- Udinese vs AC Milan
- AS Roma vs Cagliari
- Torino vs Como
- AC Milan vs Bologna
- Venezia vs Inter Milan
- Parma vs Udinese
- Genoa vs Juventus
- Monza vs Napoli
- Frosinone vs Lecce
- Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC