SteamWatchMonza vs Napoli: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Monza vs Napoli (Serie A, 28 Oct 2026) was on Monza in the 1X2 market: drifted from 4.80 at open to 5.75 at the close, a -3.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:37 UTC on 18 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.75 at open to +1 at the close.
Result
Full time: Monza 1-4 Napoli. Napoli closed as the 1.59 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Monza, which drifted from 4.80 to 5.75 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Napoli at 1.61, 38 minutes before kickoff, after a 5.3 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Napoli won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monza | 4.80 | 5.75 | -3.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.94 | 4.40 | -2.7pp |
| 1X2 | Napoli | 1.65 | 1.59 | +2.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 2.01 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 1.90 | — |
| Asian handicap | Monza +1 | — | 1.94 | — |
| Asian handicap | Napoli -1 | — | 1.98 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Monza | Draw | Napoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 4.80 | 3.94 | 1.65 |
| 48 hours before | 4.28 | 4.10 | 1.79 |
| 24 hours before | 4.39 | 4.15 | 1.76 |
| 6 hours before | 4.48 | 4.01 | 1.78 |
| 1 hour before | 4.88 | 4.06 | 1.72 |
| Close | 5.75 | 4.40 | 1.59 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Napoli shortened from 1.71 to 1.59, a +4.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Udinese vs AC Milan
- Sassuolo vs Lazio
- AS Roma vs Cagliari
- Torino vs Como
- AC Milan vs Bologna
- Venezia vs Inter Milan
- Parma vs Udinese
- Genoa vs Juventus
- Frosinone vs Lecce
- Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC
- Bologna vs Monza
- Udinese vs AS Roma