SteamWatchAtalanta BC vs Frosinone: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Atalanta BC vs Frosinone (Serie A, 25 Oct 2026) was on Atalanta BC in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.60 at open to 1.94 at the close, a -11.0 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 13:20 UTC on 25 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1 at open to -0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Atalanta BC 4-4 Frosinone. Atalanta BC closed as the 1.94 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 4.18. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Atalanta BC, which drifted from 1.60 to 1.94 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Frosinone at 3.34, 39 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.6 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Frosinone did not win.
Atalanta BC have scored 9.9 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). Frosinone have scored 3.1 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (11 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atalanta BC | 1.60 | 1.94 | -11.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.15 | 4.18 | -0.2pp |
| 1X2 | Frosinone | 4.96 | 3.63 | +7.4pp |
| Totals | Over 3.75 | — | 2.05 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.75 | — | 1.86 | — |
| Asian handicap | Atalanta BC -0.5 | — | 1.95 | — |
| Asian handicap | Frosinone +0.5 | — | 1.97 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Atalanta BC | Draw | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.60 | 4.15 | 4.96 |
| 48 hours before | 1.85 | 4.18 | 3.93 |
| 24 hours before | 1.85 | 4.17 | 3.93 |
| 6 hours before | 1.89 | 4.10 | 3.79 |
| 1 hour before | 1.91 | 4.14 | 3.81 |
| Close | 1.94 | 4.18 | 3.63 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Frosinone shortened from 3.82 to 3.63, a +1.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Torino vs Monza
- Como vs Sassuolo
- Cagliari vs Bologna
- Napoli vs AS Roma
- Lazio vs Parma
- Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
- Genoa vs Venezia
- Lecce vs Juventus
- Udinese vs AC Milan
- Sassuolo vs Lazio
- AS Roma vs Cagliari
- Torino vs Como