SteamWatchInter Milan vs Fiorentina: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Inter Milan vs Fiorentina (Serie A, 25 Oct 2026) was on Inter Milan in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.35 at open to 1.38 at the close, a -1.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 07:37 UTC on 19 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1.25 at open to -1.5 at the close.
How the market closed
Inter Milan closed as the 1.38 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Inter Milan, which drifted from 1.35 to 1.38.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Inter Milan have scored 9.6 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). Fiorentina have scored 5.7 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Milan | 1.35 | 1.38 | -1.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 5.28 | 5.60 | -1.1pp |
| 1X2 | Fiorentina | 7.07 | 7.70 | -1.2pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | — | 1.95 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | — | 1.95 | — |
| Asian handicap | Inter Milan -1.5 | — | 2.07 | — |
| Asian handicap | Fiorentina +1.5 | — | 1.86 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.35 | 5.28 | 7.07 |
| 48 hours before | 1.35 | 5.76 | 8.05 |
| 24 hours before | 1.34 | 5.81 | 8.14 |
| 6 hours before | 1.35 | 5.80 | 8.13 |
| 1 hour before | 1.35 | 5.68 | 8.29 |
| Close | 1.38 | 5.60 | 7.70 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Inter Milan drifted from 1.35 to 1.38, a -1.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Torino vs Monza
- Como vs Sassuolo
- Cagliari vs Bologna
- Napoli vs AS Roma
- Lazio vs Parma
- Atalanta BC vs Frosinone
- Genoa vs Venezia
- Lecce vs Juventus
- Udinese vs AC Milan
- Sassuolo vs Lazio
- AS Roma vs Cagliari
- Torino vs Como