SteamWatchLazio vs Parma: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Lazio vs Parma (Serie A, 24 Oct 2026) was on Draw in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.88 at open to 4.39 at the close, a -3.0 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 14:38 UTC on 23 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.25 at open to 2.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1 at open to -1.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: Lazio 2-1 Parma. Lazio closed as the 1.49 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 3.88 to 4.39 and did not come in.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Lazio have scored 3.7 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). Parma have scored 4.5 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lazio | 1.55 | 1.49 | +2.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.88 | 4.39 | -3.0pp |
| 1X2 | Parma | 6.03 | 7.33 | -2.9pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | — | 1.89 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | — | 2.02 | — |
| Asian handicap | Lazio -1.25 | — | 2.14 | — |
| Asian handicap | Parma +1.25 | — | 1.81 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Lazio | Draw | Parma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.55 | 3.88 | 6.03 |
| 48 hours before | 1.41 | 4.79 | 8.40 |
| 24 hours before | 1.42 | 4.68 | 8.27 |
| 6 hours before | 1.50 | 4.31 | 7.31 |
| 1 hour before | 1.43 | 4.57 | 8.55 |
| Close | 1.49 | 4.39 | 7.33 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Torino vs Monza
- Como vs Sassuolo
- Cagliari vs Bologna
- Napoli vs AS Roma
- Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
- Atalanta BC vs Frosinone
- Genoa vs Venezia
- Lecce vs Juventus
- Udinese vs AC Milan
- Sassuolo vs Lazio
- AS Roma vs Cagliari
- Torino vs Como