SteamWatchAC Milan vs Inter Milan: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for AC Milan vs Inter Milan (Serie A, 31 Oct 2026) was on AC Milan in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.98 at open to 3.87 at the close, a -7.7 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 05:26 UTC on 26 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.25 at open to +0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: AC Milan 3-1 Inter Milan. Inter Milan closed as the 2.05 favourite with Pinnacle. AC Milan won at a closing price of 3.87. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was AC Milan, which drifted from 2.98 to 3.87 and won.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Inter Milan have scored 9.6 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Milan | 2.98 | 3.87 | -7.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.54 | 3.59 | -0.4pp |
| 1X2 | Inter Milan | 2.26 | 2.05 | +4.5pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.81 | 2.05 | -6.5pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 2.00 | 1.87 | +3.5pp |
| Asian handicap | AC Milan +0.5 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Asian handicap | Inter Milan -0.5 | — | 2.05 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.98 | 3.54 | 2.26 |
| 48 hours before | 3.74 | 3.76 | 2.01 |
| 24 hours before | 3.59 | 3.71 | 2.07 |
| 6 hours before | 3.71 | 3.69 | 2.06 |
| 1 hour before | 3.73 | 3.59 | 2.09 |
| Close | 3.87 | 3.59 | 2.05 |
In the final two hours before kickoff AC Milan drifted from 3.72 to 3.87, a -1.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Genoa vs Juventus
- Frosinone vs Lecce
- Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC
- Bologna vs Monza
- Udinese vs AS Roma
- Como vs Venezia
- Lazio vs Cagliari
- Frosinone vs Torino
- Lecce vs Genoa
- Juventus vs Napoli
- Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
- Atalanta BC vs Parma