SteamWatchSassuolo vs Fiorentina: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina (Serie A, 2 Nov 2026) was on Sassuolo in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.56 at open to 3.16 at the close, a -7.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:18 UTC on 27 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0 at open to +0.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina. Fiorentina closed as the 2.30 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Sassuolo, which drifted from 2.56 to 3.16 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Fiorentina have scored 5.7 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sassuolo | 2.56 | 3.16 | -7.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.48 | 3.64 | -1.3pp |
| 1X2 | Fiorentina | 2.62 | 2.30 | +5.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 2.00 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 1.91 | — |
| Asian handicap | Sassuolo +0.25 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Asian handicap | Fiorentina -0.25 | — | 2.00 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.56 | 3.48 | 2.62 |
| 48 hours before | 2.90 | 3.82 | 2.36 |
| 24 hours before | 2.90 | 3.82 | 2.36 |
| 6 hours before | 2.95 | 3.80 | 2.36 |
| 1 hour before | 2.86 | 3.75 | 2.44 |
| Close | 3.16 | 3.64 | 2.30 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Sassuolo drifted from 2.96 to 3.16, a -2.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Serie A matches this round
- Frosinone vs Lecce
- Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC
- Bologna vs Monza
- Udinese vs AS Roma
- AC Milan vs Inter Milan
- Como vs Venezia
- Lazio vs Cagliari
- Frosinone vs Torino
- Lecce vs Genoa
- Juventus vs Napoli
- Atalanta BC vs Parma