SteamWatchFulham vs Newcastle United: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Fulham vs Newcastle United (English Premier League, 7 Nov 2026) was on Newcastle United in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.80 at open to 3.79 at the close, a -9.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 20:50 UTC on 25 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.25 at open to -0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United. Fulham closed as the 1.98 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.91. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Newcastle United, which drifted from 2.80 to 3.79 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Fulham have scored 11.5 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). Newcastle United have scored 3.3 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fulham | 2.38 | 1.98 | +8.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.75 | 3.91 | -1.1pp |
| 1X2 | Newcastle United | 2.80 | 3.79 | -9.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 2.07 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Asian handicap | Fulham -0.5 | — | 1.98 | — |
| Asian handicap | Newcastle United +0.5 | — | 1.94 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.38 | 3.75 | 2.80 |
| 48 hours before | 2.10 | 3.77 | 3.46 |
| 24 hours before | 2.04 | 3.75 | 3.64 |
| 6 hours before | 2.07 | 3.64 | 3.73 |
| 1 hour before | 2.08 | 3.76 | 3.59 |
| Close | 1.98 | 3.91 | 3.79 |
In the final two hours before kickoff the draw drifted from 3.69 to 3.91, a -1.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other English Premier League matches this round
- Everton vs Coventry City
- Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur
- Arsenal vs Hull City
- Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
- Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
- Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth
- Sunderland vs Chelsea
- Brighton and Hove Albion vs Brentford
- Manchester United vs Aston Villa