SteamWatchSunderland vs Chelsea: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Sunderland vs Chelsea (English Premier League, 8 Nov 2026) was on Chelsea -0.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.81 at open to 2.05 at the close, a -6.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Result
Full time: Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea. Chelsea closed as the 2.37 favourite with Pinnacle. Sunderland won at a closing price of 3.13. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Chelsea, which drifted from 2.10 to 2.37 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Sunderland at 3.13, 16 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.9 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Sunderland won.
Sunderland have scored 9.4 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). Chelsea have scored 6.5 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sunderland | 3.30 | 3.13 | +1.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.25 | 3.52 | -2.4pp |
| 1X2 | Chelsea | 2.10 | 2.37 | -5.4pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | 1.83 | 1.95 | -3.4pp |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | 1.98 | 1.95 | +0.8pp |
| Asian handicap | Sunderland +0.25 | 2.02 | 1.88 | +3.7pp |
| Asian handicap | Chelsea -0.25 | 1.81 | 2.05 | -6.5pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Sunderland | Draw | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.10 |
| 48 hours before | 3.91 | 3.80 | 1.95 |
| 24 hours before | 3.78 | 3.76 | 1.99 |
| 6 hours before | 3.55 | 3.58 | 2.13 |
| 1 hour before | 3.93 | 3.79 | 1.97 |
| Close | 3.13 | 3.52 | 2.37 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Chelsea drifted from 1.92 to 2.37, a -9.9 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other English Premier League matches this round
- Everton vs Coventry City
- Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur
- Fulham vs Newcastle United
- Arsenal vs Hull City
- Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
- Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
- Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth
- Brighton and Hove Albion vs Brentford
- Manchester United vs Aston Villa