SteamWatchNottingham Forest vs Manchester City: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City (English Premier League, 7 Nov 2026) was on Nottingham Forest in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.40 at open to 5.30 at the close, a -22.8 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 20:34 UTC on 25 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 2.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Nottingham Forest 3-1 Manchester City. Manchester City closed as the 1.63 favourite with Pinnacle. Nottingham Forest won at a closing price of 5.30. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Nottingham Forest, which drifted from 2.40 to 5.30 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Manchester City at 1.63, 8 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.2 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Manchester City did not win.
Nottingham Forest have scored 3.8 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nottingham Forest | 2.40 | 5.30 | -22.8pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.90 | 4.40 | -2.9pp |
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 1.60 | 1.63 | -1.2pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | — | 1.83 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | — | 2.09 | — |
| Asian handicap | Nottingham Forest +0.75 | 1.99 | 2.12 | -3.1pp |
| Asian handicap | Manchester City -0.75 | 1.83 | 1.82 | +0.3pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.40 | 3.90 | 1.60 |
| 48 hours before | 4.57 | 4.11 | 1.75 |
| 24 hours before | 4.46 | 4.00 | 1.79 |
| 6 hours before | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.76 |
| 1 hour before | 5.02 | 4.15 | 1.70 |
| Close | 5.30 | 4.40 | 1.63 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Manchester City shortened from 1.71 to 1.63, a +2.9 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other English Premier League matches this round
- Everton vs Coventry City
- Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur
- Fulham vs Newcastle United
- Arsenal vs Hull City
- Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
- Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth
- Sunderland vs Chelsea
- Brighton and Hove Albion vs Brentford
- Manchester United vs Aston Villa