SteamWatchCardiff City vs Burnley: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Cardiff City vs Burnley (EFL Championship, 7 Nov 2026) was on Burnley in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.15 at open to 3.68 at the close, a -4.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 21:09 UTC on 4 Nov 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.25 at open to -0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Cardiff City 5-4 Burnley. Cardiff City closed as the 1.93 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Burnley, which drifted from 3.15 to 3.68 and did not win.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cardiff City | 2.08 | 1.93 | +3.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.00 | 4.12 | -0.7pp |
| 1X2 | Burnley | 3.15 | 3.68 | -4.6pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | 2.01 | 1.96 | +1.3pp |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | 1.81 | 1.93 | -3.4pp |
| Asian handicap | Cardiff City -0.5 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Asian handicap | Burnley +0.5 | — | 1.97 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Cardiff City | Draw | Burnley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.08 | 4.00 | 3.15 |
| 48 hours before | 2.14 | 3.84 | 3.12 |
| 24 hours before | 2.12 | 3.84 | 3.17 |
| 6 hours before | 2.01 | 4.05 | 3.48 |
| 1 hour before | 2.01 | 4.04 | 3.50 |
| Close | 1.93 | 4.12 | 3.68 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Cardiff City shortened from 1.99 to 1.93, a +1.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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