Birmingham City vs Swansea City: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Birmingham City vs Swansea City (EFL Championship, 7 Nov 2026) was on Swansea City +0.5 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.83 at open to 1.96 at the close, a -3.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Result
Full time: Birmingham City 2-1 Swansea City. Birmingham City closed as the 1.94 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Swansea City, which drifted from 3.68 to 4.21 and did not win.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birmingham City | 1.99 | 1.94 | +1.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.49 | 3.59 | -0.8pp |
| 1X2 | Swansea City | 3.68 | 4.21 | -3.4pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.87 | +0.8pp |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | 1.90 | 2.02 | -3.1pp |
| Asian handicap | Birmingham City -0.5 | 2.00 | 1.94 | +1.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Swansea City +0.5 | 1.83 | 1.96 | -3.6pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.99 | 3.49 | 3.68 |
| 48 hours before | 1.88 | 3.66 | 4.08 |
| 24 hours before | 1.84 | 3.74 | 4.17 |
| 6 hours before | 1.87 | 3.73 | 4.36 |
| 1 hour before | 1.88 | 3.64 | 4.39 |
| Close | 1.94 | 3.59 | 4.21 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Birmingham City drifted from 1.85 to 1.94, a -2.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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