SteamWatch.io

EFL Championship · kickoff 20:00 UTC on 6 Nov 2026

Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers (EFL Championship, 6 Nov 2026) was on Over 2.75 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.81 at open to 2.04 at the close, a -6.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.

Result

Full time: Derby County 3-1 Bolton Wanderers. Derby County closed as the 2.43 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Derby County, which drifted from 2.14 to 2.43 and won.

Steam alerts

No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Derby County2.142.43-5.6pp
1X2Draw3.623.58+0.3pp
1X2Bolton Wanderers3.182.94+2.6pp
TotalsOver 2.751.812.04-6.2pp
TotalsUnder 2.752.001.85+4.1pp
Asian handicapDerby County -0.251.872.11-6.1pp
Asian handicapBolton Wanderers +0.251.951.82+3.7pp

314 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 20:21 UTC on 3 Nov 2026 · last 19:57 UTC on 6 Nov 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenDerby CountyDrawBolton Wanderers
Open2.143.623.18
48 hours before2.433.682.75
24 hours before2.523.672.65
6 hours before2.633.562.70
1 hour before2.663.552.68
Close2.433.582.94

In the final two hours before kickoff Derby County shortened from 2.66 to 2.43, a +3.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.

Other EFL Championship matches this round

More on SteamWatch