SteamWatchWatford vs Middlesbrough: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Watford vs Middlesbrough (EFL Championship, 7 Nov 2026) was on Watford in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.00 at open to 6.09 at the close, a -16.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:49 UTC on 3 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Watford 0-0 Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough closed as the 1.51 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 4.80. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Watford, which drifted from 3.00 to 6.09 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Middlesbrough at 1.46, 5 hours 3 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.4 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Middlesbrough did not win.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Watford | 3.00 | 6.09 | -16.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 2.86 | 4.80 | -14.1pp |
| 1X2 | Middlesbrough | 1.52 | 1.51 | +0.4pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 1.95 | — |
| Asian handicap | Watford +1.25 | 1.83 | 1.83 | +0.0pp |
| Asian handicap | Middlesbrough -1.25 | 1.99 | 2.08 | -2.2pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.00 | 2.86 | 1.52 |
| 48 hours before | 5.23 | 4.68 | 1.54 |
| 24 hours before | 5.40 | 4.72 | 1.52 |
| 6 hours before | 6.22 | 5.03 | 1.48 |
| 1 hour before | 6.35 | 4.94 | 1.48 |
| Close | 6.09 | 4.80 | 1.51 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Middlesbrough drifted from 1.45 to 1.51, a -2.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other EFL Championship matches this round
- Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers
- Bristol City vs Norwich City
- Wrexham AFC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Portsmouth vs Stoke City
- Blackburn Rovers vs West Ham United
- Cardiff City vs Burnley
- West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall
- Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City
- Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United
- Preston North End vs Southampton
- Birmingham City vs Swansea City