SteamWatchParis Saint Germain vs Lyon: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon (Ligue 1, 26 Oct 2026) was on Lyon in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.10 at open to 9.50 at the close, a -21.7 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 20:09 UTC on 11 Oct 2026.
Result
Full time: Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Lyon. Paris Saint Germain closed as the 1.31 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Lyon, which drifted from 3.10 to 9.50 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paris Saint Germain | 1.46 | 1.31 | +7.8pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.10 | 5.93 | -15.4pp |
| 1X2 | Lyon | 3.10 | 9.50 | -21.7pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | 1.89 | 1.91 | -0.6pp |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | 1.91 | 2.00 | -2.4pp |
| Asian handicap | Paris Saint Germain -1.5 | 1.93 | 1.83 | +2.8pp |
| Asian handicap | Lyon +1.5 | 1.88 | 2.12 | -6.0pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Paris Saint Germain | Draw | Lyon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.46 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| 48 hours before | 1.42 | 5.35 | 6.49 |
| 24 hours before | 1.38 | 5.78 | 7.06 |
| 6 hours before | 1.35 | 5.71 | 8.52 |
| 1 hour before | 1.34 | 5.74 | 8.73 |
| Close | 1.31 | 5.93 | 9.50 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Paris Saint Germain shortened from 1.33 to 1.31, a +1.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Ligue 1 matches this round
- Brest vs Nice
- RC Lens vs Paris FC
- AS Monaco vs Lille
- Rennes vs Strasbourg
- Auxerre vs Le Mans FC
- Angers vs Lorient
- Marseille vs Le Havre
- Toulouse vs Troyes
- Nice vs Rennes
- Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain