SteamWatchAuxerre vs Le Mans FC: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Auxerre vs Le Mans FC (Ligue 1, 25 Oct 2026) was on Under 2.75 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.83 at open to 1.96 at the close, a -3.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
How the market closed
Auxerre closed as the 2.18 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Le Mans FC, which drifted from 3.27 to 3.43.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auxerre | 2.12 | 2.18 | -1.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.53 | 3.61 | -0.6pp |
| 1X2 | Le Mans FC | 3.27 | 3.43 | -1.4pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.98 | 1.94 | +1.0pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.83 | 1.96 | -3.6pp |
| Asian handicap | Auxerre -0.25 | 1.85 | 1.89 | -1.1pp |
| Asian handicap | Le Mans FC +0.25 | 1.98 | 2.04 | -1.5pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Auxerre | Draw | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.12 | 3.53 | 3.27 |
| 48 hours before | 2.11 | 3.70 | 3.45 |
| 24 hours before | 2.09 | 3.71 | 3.49 |
| 6 hours before | 2.17 | 3.65 | 3.40 |
| 1 hour before | 2.14 | 3.63 | 3.51 |
| Close | 2.18 | 3.61 | 3.43 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other Ligue 1 matches this round
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- RC Lens vs Paris FC
- AS Monaco vs Lille
- Rennes vs Strasbourg
- Angers vs Lorient
- Marseille vs Le Havre
- Toulouse vs Troyes
- Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon