Ligue 1 · kickoff 14:00 UTC on 25 Oct 2026

AS Monaco vs Lille: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for AS Monaco vs Lille (Ligue 1, 25 Oct 2026) was on Lille in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.25 at open to 4.43 at the close, a -8.2 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 13:36 UTC on 25 Oct 2026.

The Asian handicap line moved from -0.25 at open to -0.5 at the close.

Result

Full time: AS Monaco 1-1 Lille. AS Monaco closed as the 1.89 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.64. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Lille, which drifted from 3.25 to 4.43 and did not win.

Steam alerts

No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.

AS Monaco have scored 5.4 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (32 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

Market	Selection	Open	Close	Implied change
1X2	AS Monaco	2.16	1.89	+6.6pp
1X2	Draw	3.30	3.64	-2.8pp
1X2	Lille	3.25	4.43	-8.2pp
Totals	Over 2.75	1.87	2.03	-4.2pp
Totals	Under 2.75	1.93	1.88	+1.4pp
Asian handicap	AS Monaco -0.5	—	1.90	—
Asian handicap	Lille +0.5	—	2.03	—

1350 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 20:09 UTC on 11 Oct 2026 · last 13:56 UTC on 25 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

When	AS Monaco	Draw	Lille
Open	2.16	3.30	3.25
48 hours before	2.09	3.34	3.90
24 hours before	2.07	3.37	3.93
6 hours before	1.97	3.51	4.12
1 hour before	1.99	3.60	4.04
Close	1.89	3.64	4.43

In the final two hours before kickoff AS Monaco shortened from 1.96 to 1.89, a +1.9 percentage-point change in implied probability.