SteamWatchLevante vs Athletic Bilbao: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Levante vs Athletic Bilbao (La Liga, 21 Oct 2026) was on Athletic Bilbao -0.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.83 at open to 2.04 at the close, a -5.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Result
Full time: Levante 3-1 Athletic Bilbao. Athletic Bilbao closed as the 2.37 favourite with Pinnacle. Levante won at a closing price of 3.29. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Athletic Bilbao, which drifted from 2.12 to 2.37 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Athletic Bilbao have scored 10.7 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levante | 3.50 | 3.29 | +1.8pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.0pp |
| 1X2 | Athletic Bilbao | 2.12 | 2.37 | -5.0pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | 1.86 | 2.00 | -3.8pp |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | 1.94 | 1.91 | +0.8pp |
| Asian handicap | Levante +0.25 | 2.00 | 1.89 | +2.9pp |
| Asian handicap | Athletic Bilbao -0.25 | 1.83 | 2.04 | -5.6pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Levante | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.12 |
| 48 hours before | 3.81 | 3.15 | 2.20 |
| 24 hours before | 3.74 | 3.16 | 2.22 |
| 6 hours before | 3.79 | 3.43 | 2.12 |
| 1 hour before | 3.65 | 3.25 | 2.24 |
| Close | 3.29 | 3.30 | 2.37 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Athletic Bilbao drifted from 2.16 to 2.37, a -4.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other La Liga matches this round
- CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
- Celta Vigo vs Alavés
- Málaga vs Real Sociedad
- Real Madrid vs Sevilla
- Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano
- Alavés vs Málaga
- Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF
- Real Racing Club de Santander vs Espanyol
- Valencia vs Villarreal
- Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña
- Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe
- Celta Vigo vs Real Betis