SteamWatchAthletic Bilbao vs Getafe: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe (La Liga, 25 Oct 2026) was on Getafe +1 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.82 at open to 1.95 at the close, a -3.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The totals line moved from 2.25 at open to 2.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
How the market closed
Athletic Bilbao closed as the 1.56 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 3.83 to 4.09.
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Athletic Bilbao have scored 10.7 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). Getafe have scored 5.2 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Athletic Bilbao | 1.55 | 1.56 | -0.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.83 | 4.09 | -1.7pp |
| 1X2 | Getafe | 6.21 | 6.80 | -1.4pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | — | 2.07 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Asian handicap | Athletic Bilbao -1 | 2.01 | 1.97 | +1.0pp |
| Asian handicap | Getafe +1 | 1.82 | 1.95 | -3.7pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Getafe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.55 | 3.83 | 6.21 |
| 48 hours before | 1.58 | 4.21 | 5.90 |
| 24 hours before | 1.59 | 4.15 | 5.93 |
| 6 hours before | 1.54 | 4.08 | 6.90 |
| 1 hour before | 1.60 | 3.96 | 6.33 |
| Close | 1.56 | 4.09 | 6.80 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other La Liga matches this round
- Levante vs Athletic Bilbao
- Alavés vs Málaga
- Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF
- Real Racing Club de Santander vs Espanyol
- Valencia vs Villarreal
- Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña
- Celta Vigo vs Real Betis
- Real Sociedad vs Levante
- Barcelona vs Real Madrid
- Sevilla vs CA Osasuna